Betting Dork With Gill Alexander

There are many who can give you a sense of the present, but there are only a select few individuals who can give you a true sense and snapshot of where the sports betting landscape is actually headed.  In his return to the show, LVSC Executive Director and Midas Algorithm Lead Developer Andrew Garrood joins Host Gill Alexander to discuss the continuing evolution of the industry in Las Vegas from his vantage point behind the scenes at the Cantor Gaming property, The M, with an influential reach that carries clear down the Strip.  It's a wide-ranging exchange that covers the mindset behind Cantor Gaming releasing all 256 NFL Regular Season lines way back in June, and much more.  It's all on Thursday's Betting Dork (September 29, 2011).

It's their Wednesday meeting about the Tuesday meeting.  Betting market expert Vegas Runner and Host Gill Alexander first discuss how perception will play a big part in betting lines headed into the MLB postseason before diving into VR's experience at the renowned Las Vegas handicappers Tuesday meeting and the insights it provides.  Plus, VR serves up one of his premium plays for the upcoming College Football weekend for free.  It's exclusive, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (September 28, 2011).

Pregame Pro Dave Essler and Host Gill Alexander make educated guesses at what this week's lines will be.  As always, the aim is to uncover value inherent in the spread and to turn it into cash at the betting window.  It's your weekly must-listen pod, on Monday's Betting Dork (September 26, 2011).

It's not often that one gets to eavesdrop on close to 100 years of handicapping experience chatting up a weekend's NFL schedule. But that's exactly the case on this week's MegaPod, as Host Gill Alexander welcomes Pregame staples Marco D'Angelo and Vegas Runner and first-time guest Joe Gavazzi, a Pregame Pro himself bringing over 30 years of capping experience to the table. Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys, Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts, Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears, Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints, Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings, San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals, New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans, NY Jets at Oakland Raiders.  All are discussed, along with the big favorite most likely to lose outright and the single most desperate team of Week 3.  It's all packed into Friday's Betting Dork (September 23, 2011). 

Host Gill Alexander and Vegas Runner convene for their Wednesday conversation and riff on a potential Mayweather v Pacquiao megafight, and how wiseguys and bookmakers approach the current sports betting market with football in full steam and the MLB regular season winding down.  Plus, VR provides 4 free college football leans, while Basewinner stops by to deliver his MLB plays of the day, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (September 21, 2011).

Pregame Pro Dave Essler and Host Gill Alexander convene to take their best stabs at what this week's NFL lines will be, all in the name of discovering a betting edge.  Find out where value exists, on Monday's Betting Dork (September 19, 2011).

The Week 2 panel is set and ready to dive in to all of the action.  This week, Pregame Pros Vegas Runner and Johnny Detroit drop in on Host Gill Alexander to give their thoughts on a host of NFL games.  St. Louis Rams at NY Giants, Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons, Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers at New England Patriots, Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings, Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions.  All of these matchups and more are discussed, including which big favorite is most likely to lose outright and which team is most desperate heading into its Week 2 tilt.  It's all on Friday's Betting Dork (September 16, 2011).

There's not much we haven't heard about the betting ramifications of the Utah @ USC game Saturday night, but what actually set off the chain of events?  Host Gill Alexander gets into it with Vegas Runner before VR drops the knowledge on Week 2 NFL Totals adjustments being made by linesmakers.  Plus, insights on Mayweather v Ortiz, free College Football picks, and 3 free MLB plays from Basewinner, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (September 14, 2011).

Pregame Pro Dave Essler and Host Gill Alexander take calculated guesses at what this coming week's pro football spreads ought to be, learn what they actually are, and discern value, pinpointing the most exploitable lines along the way, on Monday's Betting Dork (September 12, 2011).

It has finally arrived.  The first weekend of the NFL season is upon us and in what has become a bit of tradition this time of year, Fridays mean NFL MegaPod.  Today, in the 2011-12 inaugural edition, Pregame Pros Marco D'Angelo and Vegas Runner join Host Gill Alexander for a look at a host of this weekend's NFL games, all with your betting dollar in mind.  Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos, New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins, Dallas Cowboys at NY Jets, Minnesota Vikings at San Diego Chargers, Detroit Lions at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, NY Giants at Washington Redskins, Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans, and Philadelphia Eagles at St. Louis Rams.  All are discussed on Friday's Betting Dork (September 9, 2011).

Three seasons ago, he called the Steelers.  Then two seasons ago, it was the Saints.  Finally, a year ago, he picked the Packers. Now, wiseguy Vegas Runner joins Host Gill Alexander to reveal his NFL Super Bowl Futures plays for the 2011-12 season as he looks to cash his fourth consecutive season.  That's the headline on a show that also includes intriguing college football betting line insights from VR involving Auburn and Georgia, and a quartet of free MLB picks from Basewinner, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (September 7, 2011).

NFL betting lines get tighter as the season rolls on into its later months, right?  Well, not so fast, says Vegas Runner who joins Host Gill Alexander for their regular Wednesday chatfest.  And VR has come with numbers to support his position.  Plus, VR serves up a free MLB pick for tonight, free plays in the final week of the NFL Preseason, and a few freebies in College Football.  Then, it's sabermetrician Basewinner's turn.  He and Gill delve into their final MLB betting stats segment of 2011 with a look at the best money line (home/road splits) and run line clubs in baseball, the best and worst money starters, the most reliable over and under umpires, the best starters in terms of baserunners allowed per 9IP, and the best and worst clubs and starters during the 1st inning this season.  It's all topped off with literally a handful of underdog MLB plays tonight from Basewinner.  Sit back and enjoy Wednesday's Betting Dork (August 31, 2011).

There is no one that statistical handicappers hold in higher esteem than the renowned San Francisco-based Dr. Bob.  Judging by the length of this show, you can certainly count Host Gill Alexander among them.  Dr. Bob (Bob Stoll) joins Gill to examine his math-driven approach to capping college football, including the two-pronged nature of his situational/technical analysis and mathematical model.  Included in their chat: when might it make more sense for each approach, situational or mathematical, to take precedence over the other, and what type of situational analysis that cappers often cite as predictive actually never works. Then, it's a full-fledged 2011 College Football Preview, with Dr. Bob citing specific teams that will be better or worse than public perception would have you believe in the coming season.  Plus, which member(s) of the national media might be the most consistently wrong when it comes to college football analysis, and an opening week lean or two, to boot.  It's all on a can't-miss Betti

Spurred on by an "Interpreting the Tweets" segment that sheds light on the different causes of line movement in 2 preseason NFL games, Wiseguy Vegas Runner joins Host Gill Alexander and expounds upon the "Astros Phenomenon", providing even more food for thought on what you may need to consider when trying to decipher line moves on your own.  Plus, Basewinner serves up his MLB play of the night amidst other random baseball ruminations, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (August 24, 2011).

Last week, they each named their three favorite NFL team win total plays for the coming season.  This week, Wiseguy Vegas Runner and Host Gill Alexander continue that exercise by naming more best bets in the category and find that they isolate the same three additional teams, but disagree on which side to take on one of them.  Plus, VR offers up his two favorite NFL Preseason plays of the week.  Then, before Basewinner gets a chance to deliver his four MLB plays of the day. Gill comes through with his annual sabermetrics-inspired Fantasy Football segment and takes a look at the NFL advanced metrics of Yards per Route Run and % of TD carries inside the 10 with an eye toward uncovering 2011 Fantasy Draft sleepers.

Host Gill Alexander once again dips into the offshore well and welcomes the very open and generous BetOnline Sportsbook Brand Manager Dave Mason for a wide-ranging discussion centered on the perspective of the book itself.  How does BetOnline handle sharp bettors?  What sport have bettors taken advantage of and, as a result, given this particular shop the most fits in 2011?  The answer may very well surprise you.  What is March Madness 3-way betting?  What MLB and NFL teams create the most exposure for BetOnline?  What are the three components at play in setting their lines?  All of this and so much more on Thursday's Betting Dork (August 11, 2011).

And now, football really is finally here.  Wiseguy Vegas Runner and Host Gill Alexander chat it up on what VR plans to do all the way live from the sportsbook floors in Vegas this fall, then segue into an extensive discussion on more than a dozen teams in both college football and the NFL and why each believes those selected will go over or under their win total number for the 2011 season.  Plus, which NFL preseason lines look the juiciest this week, beginning Thursday night.  And it wouldn't be complete without Basewinner's free MLB picks.  It's all on Wednesday's Betting Dork (August 10, 2011).

Wiseguy Vegas Runner checks in with Host Gill Alexander to discuss how bettors and syndicates are reacting to offshore book closures, and why it's a good thing.  Plus, the two discuss why all line movement is not created equally, what to keep in mind when considering the notion of returning starters when capping College Football win totals, and why Tito Ortiz and a certain MLB club find themselves on VR's overvalued list this week.  Then, Pregame Pros Dave Essler, GoodFella, and Dwayne Bryant discuss the upcoming NFL preseason and regular season, and offer up MLB leans on tonight's board, with Basewinner in the anchor position with his sabermetrics-inspired MLB plays of the day.  It's all on Wednesday's Betting Dork (August 3, 2011).

Back on their regular Wednesday schedule, Wiseguy Vegas Runner hangs out with Host Gill Alexander for some good ol' fashioned interpreting of the tweets, including a blackjack clarification and what truly makes the NFL preseason a haven for sharp bettors, a notion that might be particularly true this August.  VR also reviews his Value Top 10.  Then, out of his lab in Arizona, Basewinner joins Gill for their monthly MLB betting stats review, complete with free plays for today and beyond, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (July 27, 2011).

With a slew of Pregame.com MLB cappers in the midst of impressive streaks, GM of Picks Marco D'Angelo stops by to discuss the collective baseball prowess before getting nudged by Host Gill Alexander into a discussion on ESPN's innovative coverage of the World Series of Poker.  Then, it's a couple of those hot cappers themselves, as Dave Essler drops by with the most elusive Pregame Pro of them all, GoodFella.  Plus, free MLB picks from Basewinner, on Friday's Betting Dork (July 22, 2011).