Bloomberg Surveillance

Ivan Feinseth, Tigress Financial Partners CIO, says the market is predicting that there will be improvements in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Portfolio Manager, says many companies are focusing more on their tech operations as a result of consumer changes due to Covid-19. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, says we are entering an exciting phase in the race for a coronavirus vaccine. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed’s impact on the housing market by keeping interest rates low cannot be overstated. Former European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet discusses the strength of the euro, Federal Reserve and ECB policy, and inflation concerns.

Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, urges the federal government to step in with with stimulus funding. Eswar Prasad, Cornell University Tolani Senior Professor of Trade Policy and Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, discusses outlook for the U.S. dollar. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says there is a tremendous amount of money on the sidelines in the U.S. that needs to be put to work. Gershon Distenfeld, AB Co-Head of Fixed Income, discusses the Fed’s evolving view of inflation.

Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says the Fed's vision shift is a victory for monetary policy. Sebastien Page, T. Rowe Price Head of Global Multi-Asset, says Warren Buffett is well diversified through international investments and his cash buffer. Mercedes Carnethon, Northwestern University Professor of Medicine, says companies will have a hard time getting working parents back into offices while schools remain closed. Michael Dowse, United States Tennis Association CEO and Executive Director, discuss how tennis has evolved amid the coronavirus pandemic. Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, sees value in small caps.

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Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President, says the Fed has already given enough guidance about the likely path of interest rates at this juncture and doesn’t need to offer more. William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former New York Fed President, discusses the skepticism facing the Fed's new approach to setting monetary policy. Mark Kiesel, PIMCO CIO of Global Credit, says the Fed has been "unbelievably supportive" for markets and this will eventually lead to a steeper yield curve and higher rates. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, highlights some of his favorite interviews with leaders featured in his new book, "How to Lead."

Christopher Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy, discusses outlook for the markets and high-flying stocks. Alicia Levine, Bank of New York Mellon Chief Investment Strategist, says cash is king right now. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy School Senior Fellow, says there is a real credibility issue for the Fed. Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Market Strategist, discusses Fed Chair Jerome Powell's announcement of a new approach to policy that takes a more relaxed stance on inflation.

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther George, who has been among the most hawkish Fed policy makers, isn't opposed to overshooting the 2% inflation goal and sees more risk of price pressures being too weak than too strong. Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Global Head of Economic Research, says the labor market recovery will be a long, slow slog. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says additional stimulus is a question of when, not if. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Mark Cuban, Dallas Mavericks Owner.

Chris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners Head of Technical Analysis, says the leadership tone of the equity market is telling us to expect a positive economic surprise in the back half of the year. Regina Mayor, KPMG Global Head of Energy, says the removal of Exxon from the Dow Jones is a signal that large energy companies need to embrace an “energy transition” to remain relevant. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Founder, says Trump's enthusiasm advantage over Biden is real. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says the Fed is on thin ice given where the economy is. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Head of Global Economic Research, weighs in whether inflation is on the way back.

Leon Cooperman, Omega Family Office Chairman and CEO, says the Fed has created a speculative bubble. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, examines foreign policy differences between President Donald Trump and Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says the storms heading toward the Gulf Coast are not going to move the needle when it comes to the sheer volume of oil inventory we need to run down. Ann Miletti, Wells Fargo Asset Management Head of Active Equity, says the market may be telling us that a tectonic shift is happening in our economy at a pace that we haven’t seen before.

Nouriel Roubini, NYU Stern School of Business Professor, warns the global economy faces a risk of a slow recovery or even another slump along the way unless a coronavirus vaccine is found. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, the market is shrugging its shoulders about the next quarter of earnings. Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says there is a significant divergence in terms of both behavioral and attitudinal measures of investor sentiment. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Managing Partner, discusses Apple's $2 trillion milestone and Tesla's relentless rally.

Anthony Malkin, Empire State Realty Trust President and CEO, urges leaders to get out of the Hamptons and back to the office. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, says the fact that economic data has plateaued shows that the market is unsure of what direction to go in as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says inflation will gradually get better but it is going to time. Howard Dean, former Democratic National Committee Chair and former Vermont Governor, says the DNC is aimed at disaffected Republicans who want to see honesty back in the government.

David Malpass, World Bank President, says China needs to participate in debt relief plan for poor countries. Jill Carey Hall, BofA Securities U.S. Equity Strategist & Head of U.S. SMID Cap Strategy, says there is divergence within the market in terms of valuations and performance spreads. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research Founder and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says there are signals on the horizon that inflation is coming in the U.S. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Lonnie Bunch, Secretary of the Smithsonian Institution.

Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Portfolio Manager, says the stay-at-home recession in most parts of the world has ended. Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Investment Strategist, says it will take a very long time to get incomes elevated although consumption is at a record level. Bob Doll, Nuveen Chief Equity Strategist & Senior Portfolio Manager, says the U.S. no longer has the interest rate advantage. Garlin Gilchrist, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan and Democratic National Committee Vice Chair, says Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are running on the most progressive agenda for opportunity and racial equity that any president has ever run on. Carla Freeman, Johns Hopkins SAIS Foreign Policy Institute Executive Director, discuss how a Biden-Harris administration might impact U.S.-China relations.

John Bolton, Former U.S. National Security Adviser to President Trump, says that the U.S. needs to make sure that Russia stays of out Belarus. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO & Portfolio Manager, expects the physical global economy to do much better than the global services economy. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Director of the U.S. and Americas Programme, says the goal of the Democratic National Convention is to get voters excited about the Biden/Harris ticket, not just to defeat President Trump. Marta Wosińska, Duke-Margolis Center for Health Policy Deputy Director of Policy, says individuals who are not in high-risk demographics will probably not receive a Covid-19 vaccine until the spring of 2021.

David Bailin, Citi Private Bank Chief Investment Officer, says corporate earnings and global liquidity will provide a tailwind for stocks going forward. Michael Gapen, Barclays Chief U.S. Economist, says several more months of fiscal benefits would be helpful to the economy before it can be self-sustaining. David Riley, BlueBay Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says it will be difficult for Europe to sustain a strong recovery because it is still dependent on global growth and trade. Lupin Rahman, PIMCO Global Head of EM Sovereign Credit, says the Covid-19 pandemic has been a liquidity shock for the bulk of emerging markets.

Tony Dwyer, Cannacord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, says a negative feedback loop will become great enough that lawmakers in Washington will reach a stimulus deal. Lisa Hornby, Schroder Investment U.S. Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says there is a tremendous dislocation between where markets are trading today and what the underlying economy tells us. Leland Miller, China Beige Book CEO, says the chances of seeing a broad-based solution regarding President Trump's ban of WeChat is quite low. Ian Lyngen, BMO Capital Markets Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says the recent spike in Covid-19 cases has not flowed through the labor market yet. Jason Furman, Harvard Professor and Former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers during the Obama Administration, says it is unlikely that an economic stimulus deal from Congress will be reached this month.

Jared Woodard, BofA Securities Research Investment Committee Head, expects continued volatility in markets until there is compromise on stimulus measures in Washington. Harry Tchilinguirian, BNP Paribas Head of Commodity-Markets Strategy, believes there will be another gold rally in 2021. James Bevan, CCLA Chief Investment Officer, says equities will grind higher from here. Jeffrey Wright, Eurasia Group U.S. Analyst, says Kamala Harris was the safe pick for Joe Biden’s running mate. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says cyclicality will be the winning play over the longer term.

Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Generalist Portfolio Manager, says it is best to look toward the U.S. and Asia in terms of investing in equity markets over the next five years. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says the need for another fiscal stimulus package is now a matter of "life and death." Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, believes the odds of Republicans and Democrats compromising on an economic stimulus package have decreased. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, discusses the life and legacy of Brent Scowcroft.

Daniel Alpert, Westwood Capital Managing Partner, says the fourth quarter could reveal a financial crisis trickled from a systemic one due to households not being able to pay their rent and mortgages. Mark Zandi, Moody’s Chief Economist, says the unemployment rate will be around fourteen percent rather than ten once individuals who have stepped out of the workforce return. Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says broad dollar dynamics matter for emerging market currencies across Asia and Europe. Dr. Jonathan Quick, The Rockefeller Foundation Managing Director of Pandemic Response, Preparedness, and Prevention, says we don't have herd immunity yet.

Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says virus relief talks are stalemated. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says today's payrolls report gives ammunition for another round of fiscal support. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, says although nonfarm payroll numbers are positive, we need to watch underemployment figures. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Chief U.S. Economist, says this stronger-than-expected jobs report heightens the focus on the negotiations over another stimulus bill.