Bloomberg Surveillance

Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief Market Strategist, says the dollar cannot weaken further unless emerging market economies are stabilized. Andrew Bailey, Bank of England Governor, says negative rates remain in their toolbox. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of Economics, says we should expect labor market activity to accelerate in August. Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Fundamental Fixed Income Strategy, says technology and communications are overweight right now because investors are looking for places to put their money. Piotr Matys, Rabobank Emerging Markets Strategist, says a weaker Lira is going to have significant inflationary consequences for Turkey.

Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says the United States is much less interested in the Middle East than before because it is now the world's largest energy producer. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, says you can expect to see a sustainable economic recovery in the next six to twelve months. Senator Bill Cassidy, Republican from Louisiana, says Dr. Fauci's positions on lockdown measures are evolving as we understand the scope of the pandemic. Sarah Hindlian, Macquarie Analyst, says there are legitimate concerns of consumer data collection regarding TikTok given the tensions between the U.S. and China. Jacob J. Lew, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, discusses the politics behind negotiations on the next round of U.S. stimulus.

Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist, says inflation may be coming more from deglobalization and large fiscal spending rather than monetary policy.Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Strategist, says markets are pricing in yield curve control. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says we may still have an unemployment rate above 9% by the end of this year. Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner and Senior Research Analyst, explains how TikTok could become Microsoft's deal of the decade.

Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President, says the U.S. unemployment rate will likely be above 9% if we don't do a better of managing the virus. Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says there will be a higher rise to inflation than markets are currently expecting. Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economic Research, says the size, speed and targeted nature of the next U.S. fiscal stimulus package are all of paramount importance. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Director of the U.S. and Americas Programme, says Democrats have a strong incentive to hold out on stimulus measures during the negotiating process with Republicans.

Bloomberg Markets magazine is out with a special issue focused on diversity, where black men and women share their experience on Wall Street. There's no universal experience, but their stories reflect what it's like, and what it means, to be just one of a handful of black faces in finance. Bloomberg Radio and Television Correspondent Sonali Basak contributed to the issue and brings us more in this special report. 

Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the gap between the technology companies dominating the market and everything else will continue to widen. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Co-CIO, says asset reflation is here. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, says a second virus wave is the main reason to buy bonds. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Managing Director of Equity Research, says Apple will reach a two trillion dollar market cap by the end of the year.

Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago Booth School Professor and Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, says the Fed will be as supportive as possible but will resist negative interest rates. Michelle Meyer, BofA Securities Head of U.S. Economics, says the leisure and hospitality sector has been one of the hardest hit industries as a result of the pandemic. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says the U.S. unemployment rate will be greater than 10% heading into 2021. Arun Sundararajan, NYU Stern School of Business Professor, says the real solution in regards to the tech industry will be self-regulation.

Jim McKelvey, Square Co-Founder, Author of "The Innovation Stack," and St. Louis Federal Reserve Deputy Chair, discusses how much regulation Congress should wield over large tech companies. Jill Carey Hall, BofA Securities U.S. Equity Strategist, says she is cautious on the upside of U.S. markets because there could be payback risk from stimulus measures. Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says the recent dollar weakness has been a result of the market listening to the Fed. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says gold has become a little too crowded. Al Broaddus, Former Richmond Fed President, weighs in on Fed policy as Congress works on fiscal aid.

Charles Plosser, Former Philadelphia Fed President, says the Fed needs to declare its independence and regain control of monetary policy. Tobias Levkovich, Citi Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says investors are chasing momentum. Chris Krueger, Cowen Washington Research Group Managing Director, says the crux of the phase four fiscal stimulus bill is the split between lawmakers over unemployment benefits. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, stresses the urgent need for greater federal stimulus in New York. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, discusses the rise of socially conscious investing amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Pat Foye, MTA Chairman and CEO, says not funding the MTA will stunt and thwart economic recovery and job creation all over New York. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says the incremental slowdown in the U.S. was caused by a surge in virus cases, but forecasts a strong double digit increase in third-quarter GDP. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Investment Management Chief Strategist, says it is wise to be cautiously bullish in this current market. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, discusses the factors that could send us into a bear market this year.

Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says there is a possibility of broad sanctions between the U.S. and China amid rising tensions. Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commission Executive Vice President, says the EU is willing to cooperate with the U.S. in a multi-lateral strategy to deal with China. Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist, says the rebound in the third quarter is going to look very V-shaped. Betsey Stevenson, Bloomberg View Columnist and Former U.S. Department of Labor Chief Economist, says studies show that investing in early childcare development reaps huge returns for taxpayers. Sam Kennedy, Boston Red Sox President and CEO, looks ahead to the team's first game back in Fenway Park since before the start of the pandemic.

William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former New York Federal Reserve President, says if there is no extension of unemployment benefits there will be consequences in consumer spending. Ralph Schlosstein, Evercore Co-Chairman and Co-CEO, says the most important thing for every company to look at is liquidity. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, expects the U.S. to continue escalation with China after the closure of the Chinese consulate in Houston. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, says the greatest challenge facing the U.S. in this century is China.

Adena Friedman, Nasdaq President & CEO, says the SEC has done an excellent job at managing the responsibility of disclosure obligations. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says gold has been the biggest beneficiary from the reflation story. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of U.S. Public Policy Research & Municipal Credit Strategy, expects an agreement in Washington over the next wave of U.S. stimulus within three weeks. Sir Howard Davies, NatWest Group Chairman, discusses the implications of rising U.S.-China tensions against the backdrop of a fragile economic environment.

Carlos Gimenez, Miami-Dade County Mayor, says a new stimulus package will prevent the closure of many businesses and restaurants. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, says a number of coronavirus vaccines are indicating positive results, but there are still several more steps before one will be widely available to the public. Chris Van Hollen, Democratic Senator from Maryland, says the nominee for the Federal Reserve should not be a political rubber stamp for the president. Paolo Gentiloni, EU Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, discusses the details of the landmark European stimulus package worth 750 billion euros.

David Malpass, World Bank President, says developing countries are under immense debt pressure in the midst of a global pandemic. Jason Furman, Harvard Kennedy School Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy, says the current recession is unlike the last financial crisis because there has been a V-shape recovery in consumer spending. Carsten Nickel, Teneo Intelligence Managing Director for Europe, says EU leaders joining together to create a recovery fund is politically transformative. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Analyst, says Amazon and Google seem to be the technology companies most susceptible to regulatory risk in the next year.

Abigail Wozniak, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute Director & Senior Research Economist, says it is imperative for small and medium-sized businesses to receive continual support. Brian Levitt, Invesco Global Market Strategist, says a protracted U-shaped recovery could be sufficient for the equity market. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence Director, says it would be reckless to think that the proposed EU virus stimulus is the beginning of the end of the European debt crisis. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Bank Analyst, gives the banks a B+ for the second quarter.

Geoffrey Okamoto, IMF First Deputy Managing Director, says certain sectors are not going to be as economically viable if their business models can't adapt to the structural changes caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says a NASDAQ retraction of 10 percent could be a healthy development in the long-term. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies, expects central banks to remain stuck in quantitative easing for a very long time. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder & President, says the U.S. economic outlook could take a turn for the worse again as some states increase virus restrictions.

Patrick Harker, Philadelphia Fed President, says the economy can't get back to full throttle until we get the virus under control. Paschal Donohoe, Ireland Finance Minister, says big digital companies like Apple need to be taxed fairly and effectively. Dan Tannebaum, Oliver Wyman Partner, says investors evacuating the Hong Kong market at this point would be acting prematurely. Jared Woodard, Bank of America Securities Head of Research Investments Committee, says investors should start taking a peak at European banks for potential dividends.

George Rusnak, Wells Fargo Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy, says the fiscal and monetary stimulus injected into the U.S. economy is necessary but will cause challenges over time. David Bianco, DWS Investment Management Chief Investment Strategist of Americas & Head of U.S. Equities, says the American financial system is sound, despite a few challenges. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says everybody focuses on the yield curve when they should be looking at the lack of revenue growth. Chris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners Head of Technical Analysis, says the signal from credit markets is a more important indicator for investors than the daily virus count.

Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank Chief Global Strategist & Head of Asset Allocation, says need rates to start going up in order for cyclicals to perform. Mike Pyle, BlackRock Global Chief Investment Strategist, says he has confidence in European policy ahead of the EU Summit's proposed recovery fund. Lewis Alexander, Nomura Securities Chief U.S. Economist, says China's economy can't expand unless the rest of the world recovers and export demand picks up. Marta Wosinska, Duke-Margolis Center for Health Policy Deputy Director of Policy, says there are certain states in the U.S. where in-person learning can occur safely this fall.