Bloomberg Surveillance

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester says policy is in a good place right now.. Claudia Sahm, Jain Family Institute Senior Fellow & Former Federal Reserve Economist, says people will tolerate inflation at a moderate level as long as wages are rising. Michael Nathanson and Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founding Partners & Senior Research Analysts, discuss the streaming wars as Disney reports a miss in streaming user growth. Dr. Gigi Gronvall, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, discusses the CDC lifting mask guidance for vaccinated individuals.

Mohamed El-Erian, Cambridge University Queens' College President and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says that it becomes very difficult for economists to forecast with any degree of accuracy when structural change is going on in an economy. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter & Chairman of the University of Akron Endowment Fund, explains why he has been very bearish on equities. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says higher inflation is not the end of the world. Julie Norman, University College London Professor in the Department of Political Science, details the complexity of the conflict between Israel and Hamas.

Jason Furman, Harvard University Aetna Professor of Economic Policy, says some states should start rethinking unemployment insurance. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Investment Strategist, says a little bit of inflation is positive for Main Steet. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Capital Director of Global Currencies & Interest Rate Strategist, is not positive on iron. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, says the stimulus checks will help U.S. consumers get beyond inflation problems.

William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former New York Federal Reserve President, says rates will climb much higher than expected once the Fed does begin to hike. Jared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisers Member, says having childcare in the infrastructure package is a high priority. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says copper could go as high 20K per ton if the supply of scarp doesn't make it into the market. Arvind Krishna, IBM Chairman & CEO, says AI will be infused into every enterprise and every process this century. Sarah Hunt, Alpine Woods Capital Investors Portfolio Manager, says tech still has a lot of pricing power.

Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Director of Research & Founder, says the warfare surrounding cyber attacks on companies has completely changed. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says the gap between rich and poor countries is being felt very differently since the pandemic hit. Jared Woodard, BofA Securities Head of Research Investment Committee, says 6-9 months from now things will probably be a lot more normal than we expect. Steve Sadove, Mastercard Senior Adviser & Former Saks CEO, says the consumer is coming back with a vengeance.

Neel Kashkari, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President, says Friday's jobs number miss validates the Fed's outcome-based policy approach. Marty Walsh, U.S. Labor Secretary, says the U.S. economy still has a steep hill to climb. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says the longer-run trajectory for the U.S. economy is still in place despite the jobs number miss. Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short-Term Portfolio Management, short-term benchmark rates will likely remain low well into 2023.

Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize Winning Economist & Columbia University Professor, says pandemic has exposed economic inequality in the U.S. David Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Member, says there is plenty of labor out there. Ash Alankar Janus Global Head of Asset Allocation & Risk Management details his proprietary research into a barbell approach to investing and, over the past 30 years, whether bonds actually have been a reliable hedge against stocks. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says the bond market will move well before the Fed does. Dr. Jennifer Nuzzo, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says there is an urgent need for vaccines globally.

Leon Cooperman, Omega Family Office Chairman & CEO, says inflation is going to surprise the Federal Reserve and they will be forced to raise rates in 2022. Mary Barra, General Motors CEO, says the company is working on ensuring a secure supply chain amid the global chip shortage. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners Founder & President, talks about "derisking" and the sign posts he looks for as he times his moves. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder, discusses his interview with U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Securities Chief U.S. Economist, is expecting a big number for payrolls Friday.

Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says Wall Street is not being optimistic enough. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investments Chief Strategist, says the market is divided on the path of inflation. Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economic Research, doesn't expect the U.S. employment to fully return to normal before the end of the year. Dr. Amesh Adalja, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says vaccine hesitancy is the biggest issue in the U.S. right now by far.

Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Securities Chief U.S. Equity Strategist & Head of Quantitative Research, explains why his firm raised their target for the S&P 500 to 4,600. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist & Head of Global Economic Research, says the U.S. economy is in the midst of a boom and Europe is about to join it. Dana Peterson, Conference Board Chief Economist says most inflation will be transitory, but some is here to stay. Howard Forman, Yale University Professor of Radiology, Economics and Public Health, discusses the irrational fear around coronavirus in the U.S. despite high vaccination rate.

Glenn Hubbard, Columbia Professor of Economics & Former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, says Biden's tax plan leans against investment. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says there is clearly inflation right now. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, expects Biden's tax bill to be slashed by half. Pierre Ferragu, New Street Research Head of Technology Infrastructure, says we are going to hear about chip supply issues for the next couple of years. Joe Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Managing Director and Assistant Director of Research, says Amazon is in a new phase of growth.

David Bailin, Citi Global Wealth Chief Investment Officer & Global Head of Investments, discusses which types of companies will be able to keep up this boost of revenue post-pandemic. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says the economy is doing well and inflation is under control. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research & Trading Director of Policy Research, says Biden's family aid and tax proposal is incredibly ambitious and expansive. Will Power, Baird Senior Research Analyst, is expecting over 20% growth across all of Apple's product lines.

Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Global Head of Economic Research and Chief Economist, says there's no way the U.S. will see less than 6 or 7% growth this year. James Bevan, CCLA Chief Investment Officer, expects the 10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2% by the end of 2021. Jonathan Lieber, Eurasia Group U.S. Managing Director, says Democrats likely have the votes for most of the things in Biden's infrastructure plan. Jennifer Lee, BMO Senior Economist, sees prices pressures starting to rise.

Daniel Ahn, BNP Paribas Chief U.S. Economist & Head of Markets 360 North America, says recent GDP forecasts are catching up. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President & Author of The World: A Brief Introduction, says current international arrangements are coming up short. Gigi Kwik Gronvall, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says the virus situation in India is turning out to be a humanitarian crisis. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Partner & Senior Portfolio Manager, says we are in the middle of a bitcoin bull market.

Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says the capital gains tax proposal expected from President Biden could cause choppiness in the markets. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Corporate Investment Bank Senior Economist, says the Biden tax plan could help stabilize the deficit. Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says markets have finally heard the Fed. Dr. David Reich, Mount Sinai Hospital & Mount Sinai Queens President, says he has seen a slow decline in the number of hospital patients.

Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says this cycle looks much shorter and faster than what we're used to. Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Equity Strategist, markets are so overbought, that they may be approaching stall speed. James Athey, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Investment Manager, says the ECB needs to fine-tune its messaging. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Head of Macroeconomic Strategy, says relative fiscal policy is a key global market driver. Dr. Jennifer Nuzzo, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says India is on the brink of a humanitarian crisis.

Mark Carney, Former Bank of England Governor & UN Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance, says that 2021 is a "critical year for action" on climate issues. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Host of "Peer to Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of FX Analysis, says the cyclical trade still has further to run. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Portfolio Manager, says this is the time for markets and society to fight inequality.

Daniel Kurtz-Phelan, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says the future of global trade is about the control of data and technology. Jim Caron, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says strong cash flow has been key for bond traders. Ben Laidler, eToro Global Markets Strategist, says the everything rally is sustainable. Lee Ferridge, State Street Global Markets Senior Managing Director & Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, says the dollar will continue to weaken as long as the Fed doesn't hike.

Michael Spence, General Atlantic Senior Advisor and GSB Stanford Dean Emeritus, says there is a very powerful economic recovery underway. Dr. Ofer Levy, Boston Children's Hospital Precision Vaccine Program Director and FDA Advisory Panel Member, says we can't assume that a vaccine that is safe and effective in one age group is safe and effective for another age group. Michael Kushma, Morgan Stanley CIO of Global Fixed Income, sees yields higher in the long-term. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO, says plans for a European Super League would lead to soccer becoming a two-tier sport. Eswar Prasad, Cornell University Senior Professor of Trade Policy, says multilateralism is moving back to D.C.

Mark Cabana, Bank of America Securities Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, discusses the factors driving the surprise in treasury yields as solid economic data continue to push equities higher. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says there's no real need for borrowing at this point in time. Helane Becker, Cowen Senior Research Analyst, says domestic leaisure airline travel is 90-95% back to normal. Daniel Tannebaum, Oliver Wyman Partner and Head of Americas Anti-financial Crime, says the Biden Administration's sanctions against Russia are just a warning shot. Bloomberg's Renita Young on the issue of race and pay when it comes to social media.