The Meb Faber Show

Today’s returning guest is Jerry Parker, CEO of Chesapeake Holding Company. Jerry began his career in 1983 when he was accepted into Richard Dennis’ Turtle Program. In today’s episode, Meb & Jerry discuss the launch of their new ETF, the Cambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETF (MFUT). They delve into the fund, which uses a systematic trend following strategy across stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities. Jerry covers the key principles of trend following, the importance of capturing big trends, and the benefit of trend following in a portfolio. BEFORE INVESTING YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER THE FUND'S INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, RISKS, AND CHARGES AND EXPENSES. THIS AND OTHER INFORMATION IS IN THE PROSPECTUS. A PROSPECTUS MAY BE OBTAINED BY VISITING WWW.CAMBRIAFUNDS.COM. PLEASE READ THE PROSPECTUS CAREFULLY BEFORE YOU INVEST. To learn more about the Cambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETF, visit https://www.cambriafunds.com/mfut Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. Commodities Risk. Exposure to the commo

Today’s guest is Herb Greenberg, a veteran financial journalist and skeptical market commentator. In today’s episode, Herb talks about the evolution of markets during his career, finding and following frauds like Herbalife, and advice for those starting in markets. (1:05) Introducing Herb Greenberg (1:29) Herb's early career (7:10) Market structure changes during his career (11:46) Herb's five simple lessons and their modern interpretations (17:58) The role of short sellers (23:00) Herb's investigation into Herbalife (41:17) Herb's contrarian investment beliefs ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: 10 East is a membership-based investment firm founded by Michael Leffell, former Deputy Executive Managing Member of Davidson Kempner, focused on providing targeted exposure to private markets. Members invest at their discretion in single-in

Today’s guest is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management. He’s also the Chair of the US Investment Strategy Committee.  In today’s episode, Jason talks about the possibility of a Roaring 20’s decade for the US economy. He discusses the factors contributing to this scenario, including a possible capex boom, AI, the green energy transition and security & deglobalization. He also covers the role of bonds in the new macro regime, the impact of inflation and growth on stocks and bonds, and his take on the deglobalization narrative. (1:40) Welcome to Jason Draho (2:09) The resilience of the US economy (3:08) Misinterpreting economic signals (4:07) Household financial health post-pandemic (6:29) Positive demand shock and investment trends (14:11) US growth projections (23:26) Asset allocation strategies (39:04) Gold and real estate markets ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscrib

Today’s guest is Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. She was recently named to Barron’s 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance. In today’s episode, Lori explains why the US market has become more sentiment driven in the post COVID era. She shares her thoughts on the valuations of the top 10 stocks and the broad market. She also touches on small cap stocks, takeaways from earnings season, and her early thoughts on 2025. (1:11) Welcome to our guest, Lori Calvasina (3:50) Indicators and gauging market sentiment today (10:37) Current market valuations (13:08) Impact of upcoming election on financial markets (17:05) US small cap stocks setup (20:24) Value versus growth discussion (36:56) Lori's favorite indicators (42:37) Lori's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: 10 East is a me

Today’s guest is Eva Shang, co-founder and CEO of Legalist, which is an institutional alternative asset management firm using data-driven technology to invest in credit assets at scale. Eva is a Thiel Fellow and participated in Y Combinator. In today’s episode, Eva covers everything related to litigation finance. We walk through why the asset class exists, how it works, using AI to source deal flow, and more. Then we get into her thoughts on building an asset management firm and why she launched a Government Receivables strategy.  (1:17) Welcome to guest, Eva Shang (1:47) Overview of Litigation Finance (5:04) Origin Story of Legalist (9:09) Typical litigation process (21:49) The moneyball of litigation finance (28:06) Expanding into other strategies (37:07) Allocating to a litigation finance strategy (40:58) Eva's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us

In today’s episode, Meb reads a recent post, "The Bear Market in Diversification." ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | Tik Tok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Brendan Ahern, Chief Investment Officer at KraneShares, which provides investors access to China, Climate, and other uncorrelated strategies. He also produces China Last Night, a daily note recapping important news out of China.  In today’s episode, Brendan delves into the current state of China's stock market and economy, exploring the impact of the property crisis, upcoming U.S. election and the state of the consumer. Our discussion addresses key questions on whether China remains a viable destination for investors, considering recent regulatory changes, economic policies, and global market dynamics.  (1:02) Introducing our guest, Brendan Ahern (5:53) The state of China's economy (14:18) Analysis of China's geopolitical concerns and international partnerships (20:01) The narrative around China post Russia-Ukraine (22:03) Deep dive into KWEB (29:44) Implications of the US election (32:40) Discussion on currency hedging (33:52) Other KraneShares' funds (41:44) Will TikTok be banned (43:52) Br

Today’s guest is Michael Melissinos, founder of Melissinos Trading, an investment firm that employs a systematic trend-following approach. In today’s episode, Mike shares his journey into trend following and his approach to trading. He emphasizes the importance of removing biases and opinions when observing trends and executing trades. We get into the nuances of trend following, sticking to a trading system, and much more. (0:00) Introduction of guest Mike Melissinos and his journey into trend following (6:08) Jumping into trend following (10:07) Implementation and execution of trend following strategies, with emphasis on risk management (14:19) Deciding what markets to trade (16:33) The pitfalls of overriding your system (21:24) Questioning assumptions and the benefits of sticking to a system (28:40) Trading during the 2020 COVID crash and the subsequent inflation wave (30:07) The unexpected downfall of the 60/40 in recent years (33:11) Long term versus short term trading systems (36:06) Mike's mos

Today’s guests are Eric Crittenden, CIO of Standpoint Asset Management, and Jason Buck, CIO of Mutiny Funds. In today’s episode, we talk about the sentiment around trend-following today. We discuss optimal diversifiers for trend-following, how the Herschel Walker trade relates to portfolio construction, and if investors are as diversified as they think they are. (1:01) - Welcome back to our guests, Eric and Jason; Episode #389: Eric Crittenden; Episode #440: Jason Buck (2:02) - Investor interest in trend following (6:00) - Herschel Walker Syndrome (15:55) - Building a portfolio away from the traditional 60/40 (18:08) - Rob Lintner Revisited (29:02) - Interest overseas  (41:30) - Paul Mulvaney’s back-to-back 40% months (51:19) - Show recommendations (56:22) - What Jason & Eric are hearing from investors today (1:03:22) - Love for ETFs (1:10:12) - Pairing trend following with factor investing Learn more about Eric and Jason: Standpoint; Mutiny Fund ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and Yo

Today’s guest is Hendrik Bessembinder, a professor at Arizona State University. In today’s episode, Meb and Hank discuss Hank's research on long-term stock returns and wealth generation. They explore the concept of power laws in the stock market, where a small percentage of stocks generate significant returns, while the majority underperform. They also discuss the implications of Hank's findings for investors, including the importance of diversification and the challenges of holding onto big winners. (1:06) - Welcome to our guest, Hendrik Bessembinder (1:27) - Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills? (6:16) - Power laws drive stock market returns (13:52) - The importance of holding on to winners in your portfolio (15:22) - Shared traits among the best stocks (23:10) - Takeaways from his global studies (28:21) - Mutual Fund Performance and Long Horizons (31:34) - Other topics Hank is interested in researching (37:52) - Hendrik’s most memorable investment Learn more about Hendrik: SSRN; Lessons from Bes

Today’s guest is Catherine LeGraw, a member of GMO’s Asset Allocation Team. In today’s episode, Catherine explains why this is “the best relative asset allocation opportunity we’ve seen in 35 years," and “we are building portfolios with some of the highest forecasted relative and absolute returns we’ve ever seen." She explains where she sees opportunity around the world today, why she’s excited about deep value and quality, and how she’s thinking about the Magnificent 7. (1:34) - Welcome to our guest, Catherine LeGraw (1:45) - Why Catherine is so excited about the opportunity set today (Record Highs…But We’re Still Excited) (8:04) - The Magnificent 7 (Magnificently Concentrated) (14:39) - The opportunity in deep value (17:10) - Opportunities in foreign stocks (20:38) - GMO 7-Year Asset Class Forecast (Feb. 29, 2024) (23:46) - Currency implications (24:56) - The current state of bonds (30:46) - Other interesting assets (34:35) - Jump in the Deep End / GMO (34:59) - Catherine’s most controversial

Today’s guest is Professor Ken French, the Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College. He’s written some of the most influential papers in finance alongside former podcast guest, Professor Eugene Fama.  In today’s episode, Ken shares what topic he and Professor Fama disagree on. Then we get into a number of topics: what it means to truly be a long-term investor, the global market portfolio, misconceptions around stock buybacks, and much more. (01:17) - Welcome to our guest, Kenneth French (03:35) - Investing in FAANG Stocks: Should You Expect Unexpected Returns? (07:10) - Deciphering an investors skill vs. luck (15:12) - Having an investment plan (20:24) - The global market portfolio (25:02) - Thoughts on gold and other commodities (26:26) - Incorporating human capital (32:12) - Ken’s thoughts on stock buybacks (35:36) - Improving financial education (40:10) - Disagreement, Taste, and Asset Prices (44:05) - Ken’s most controversial opinion (46:37) - Ken’

In today’s episode, Meb reads a white paper, “T-Bills and Chill…Most of the Time.” ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list.  ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to start your free trial and be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription (new clients only). Sponsor: Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | Tik Tok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Fee

Today’s guest is Cliff Asness, co-founder, managing principal and Chief Investment Officer at AQR Capital Management.  In today’s episode, Cliff & I start by talking about some quotes he may or may not have said in the past. Then we kick around a bunch of topics. We talk about diversifying by both asset class and geography, the challenge of managing short-term expectations while keeping a long-term perspective, and how AQR is implementing AI and machine learning in their investment process.  (1:20) - Welcome to our guest, Cliff Asness (1:45) - Cliff’s article in the Financial Times (2:30) - Parsing Cliff’s real quotes from fake ones (8:56) - Thoughts on bonds as a diversifier (13:37) - Moving away from market-cap weighting (19:27) - Managing client expectations (29:30) - AQR Data Sets (29:56) - Alternative trend-following (43:48) - Position resizing for alternative strategies (48:06) - AQR implementing AI in their investment process (51:46) - Cliff’s most controversial opinion (57:39) - Cliff’s most memorable

Today’s guest is Steve Edmundson, the Chief Investment Officer of the Public Employees’ Retirement System of Nevada, which manages over $60 billion. As pension funds continue to hire more employees, pay more and more fees and build more complex portfolios, Steve is an outlier for his approach that emphasizes simplicity over complexity. He’s one of two investment professionals on staff and has indexed 100% of all publicly traded asset classes. I love it!  Steve talks about the culture that allows this model to work and shares some thoughts on the rise of private markets and the impact of higher interest rates. The late Jack Bogle had a quote that applies well to Steve & Nevada PERS: “Don’t do something, just stand there!” ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to

In today’s episode, Meb reads his blog post, “Should CalPERS Fire Everyone And Just Buy Some ETFs?.”  Resource: What Does Nevada’s $35 Billion Fund Manager Do All Day? Nothing ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list.  ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to start your free trial and be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription (new clients only). Read their 2024 Advisor-Client Communication Survey Sponsor: Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers.

Today’s guests are Peter Atwater and Grant Williams, two guys that have known each other for a decade. Peter is a professor and author of The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. Grant is the author of the newsletter Things That Make you Go Hmmm… and host of The Grant Williams Podcast. He was also a co-founder of Real Vision. Today’s episode is a masterclass in how to analyze market sentiment, which seems particularly timely given how the market has been lately. Peter shares his framework for looking at the world through the lens of certainty and control and how that drives consumer confidence. Then he and Grant kick around a bunch of topics, including the relationship between natural gas and Nvidia, Elon Musk and the velvet rope economy, gold and Bitcoin, the opportunity in Japan, and much, much more. (1:40) - Welcome to our guests, Peter Atwater and Grant Williams (2:28) - Confidence and vulnerability’s role in financial market (6:18) - Elon Musk 0 - 60mph Tweet (10:21) - Peter’s take

Today’s guest is Tim Ranzetta, co-founder of Next Gen Personal Finance, a non-profit organization working to increase access to financial education. In today’s episode, Tim updates us on everything going on with Next Gen Personal Finance. You all know I’m a huge proponent of teaching kids personal finance and Tim is as focused on this making this happen as much as anyone. He talks about “Mission 2030,” which is to guarantee every high school student in the US takes at least one semester-long personal finance course by 2030.  Tim also shares how you can get involved in your community, along with some books and podcasts he’d suggest for kids to teach them about personal finance. I have a feeling in 7 years, Tim will be back on the show to celebrate achieving Mission 2030.   Listen to Tim’s first appearance on The Meb Faber Show here. (1:30) - Welcome to our guest, Tim Ranzetta; Tim's first episode on the podcast (2:03) - Update on Next Gen Personal Finance (8:25) - Financial education in California (13:31) - Fi

Today’s guest is Whitney Baker, founder of Totem Macro. She previously worked at shops like Bridgewater and Soros. In today’s episode, Whitney explains what led to $500 billion in money expansion last year and why that’s driven recent performance in asset prices. She discusses the challenge the Federal Reserve faces as they try to balance inflation concerns with the need to support asset prices. Finally, Whitney talks about the huge opportunity she sees in emerging markets today and which countries have attractive valuations and troughing conditions.  Listen to Whitney’s appearances in episodes 387 and 453. (1:37) - Welcome to our guest, Whitney Baker (1:55) - Whitney’s view of the macro landscape (4:48) - What led to the money expansion the past few months (14:57) - The challenge the Fed faces (30:58) - Opportunity in emerging markets (40:46) - Interesting markets to keep an eye on (48:03) - What leads to Whitney seeing an investment opportunity (58:57) - Update from Whitney on launching a new fund (1:04:11)

Today’s returning guest is Alpha Architect’s Wes Gray, and he’s joined by Bob Elwood, a business lawyer with a focus on investment funds.  Wes and Bob just helped complete a separately managed account to ETF conversion of $770 million, so we had to get them on the show to walk through the process! They walk through the process of doing an SMA to ETF conversion via Section 351 from start to finish. They share some of the more nuances involved in the process and answer some common questions they hear over time. While the most popular ETF story so far this year is the Bitcoin ETF, this is arguably a bigger long-term story and a trend to watch in the next few years. (1:39) - Welcome to our guests, Wes Gray and Robert Elwood; Wes’ prior appearances on the show: how to launch an ETF, 2023 Radio Show, 2021 Radio Show (2:11) - Update on Alpha Architect (2:59) - Overview of converting SMAs to ETFs via Section 351 (13:58) - Mutual fund to ETF conversions versus separate account to ETF conversions (19:34) - Weighing the