Bhtv: Woodruff & Strauss (audio)

The Selzer poll and the weighting debate ... Will Bill and Matt change their predictions? ...

Who would get more accomplished: Harris or Trump? ... Does Trump know more about wielding power than during his first term? ... Trump's past failed record on mass deportations ... How will "garbage" impact the race? ... Predictions! ... Who will Matt vote for? ...

Is Mickey all-in on Trump? ... The “garbage” wars and their aftermath ... Kamala’s path(s) to victory ... Mickey explains the logic of voting for Trump ... Why Trump sucks, why Kamala sucks ... Bob doles out (p)recriminations ... Will Israel-Iran escalate? ... How Kamala could win Mickey’s vote ... Why did Kamala go negative? ... Mickey plays pundit defender ... Which swing state looks worst for Kamala? ... How Biden made war in Taiwan more likely ... Four Dem sex “scandals” ... Bob trashes Trump’s tariffs ... Bob looks for a silver-lining to a second Trump term ... Elon Musk, the oligarch’s oligarch ...

Peter’s new book, Other Rivers: A Chinese Education ... Have Chinese people become less hostile to America? ... What Americans get wrong about China ... Why Peter thinks Covid didn’t come from a lab ... China’s transformative recent decades ... Respect for authority in Chinese culture ... Change in China between Peter’s two teaching stints there ... Why the Chinese political system may change dramatically ...

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How did Harris do at the CNN Town Hall? ... Is sexism hurting Harris? ... Should Harris go after Trump as a fascist? ... Is Harris' campaign better run than past Democratic campaigns? ... What is up with Tucker Carlson's creepy spanking speech? ... Trump's ahistorical argument for ending the income tax ...

Bob: The oligarchy has arrived ... What do the odd 2024 betting markets mean for the race? ... Trump on Palmer’s manhood: a closer look ... The Elon empathy enigma ... Coates’s controversial cognitive-empathizing ... Heading to Overtime ...

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Should we brace for a Trump victory? ... Or does Harris have the edge? ... Trump is now the candidate who sees voters as deplorable ... Why aren't conservative smear attempts working? ...

What is the chip war intended to accomplish? ... How China sees the chip war ... Is Huawei a threat to US national security? ... Paul: The chip restrictions on China are unprecedented ... How Biden boosted China’s chip industry ... Clear costs and unclear benefits of the chip war ...

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Did Kamala's media blitz help or hurt? ... Has Kamala lost momentum, or are pollsters using a flawed methodology? ... Why are conservatives sticking with Trump? ... Trump's bizarre answer to Ben Shapiro's ground game question ... Have YouTube and podcasters supplanted the mainstream media? ...

The time Ron helped un-cancel Jimmy Carter ... How has 10/7 affected American Jews? ... Israel’s place in US politics post-10/7 ... What a second Trump term could mean for Israel-Palestine ... Could the current trauma in the Middle East eventually revive the two-state solution? ... Making sense of Israel’s military strategy ... Criticism of Israel, left vs right ... Heading to Overtime ...

Elon takes the stage with Trump ... The logic behind Elon’s Trump gamble ... Who won the Vance-Walz vibe war? ... A few kind words about Elon from Paul ... Bob and Paul debate the CBS Coates controversy ... Paul gets philosophical about Mission: Impossible ... Heading to Overtime ...

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Arvind’s book and newsletter: AI Snake Oil ... A taxonomy of AI observers ... The impact of generative AI ... Why predictive AI sometimes fails ... Uses and misuses of AI in law and healthcare ... Can social media be saved? ... Heading to Overtime ...

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Are Democrats smart to spend in Texas and Florida? ... Is Trump smart to tell women he will protect them? ... Does Trump have a ground game? ...

Bob crestfallen over Mickey’s hat switcheroo ... Mickey blames DEI for Kamala tic he finds annoying ... Who’s less impressive, Kamala or Trump? ... Why Bob prefers Kamala’s foreign policy team to Biden’s ... The Vance dossier, revealed at last ... More arguments about Kamala ... Preliminary election analysis ... Trump, Vance, and Springfield’s cats and dogs ... Mickey’s Eric Adams conspiracy theory ... Biden diplomacy? What Biden diplomacy? ... Is cancel culture impotent? ... Election predictions ... Deeper election analysis ...