The Disciplined Investor

Bitcoin BREAKS OUT! Markets seem a little frothy – but the trend still intact. Everyone is talking about the Santa Rally – will it happen again? Guest John Pugliano is our guest.  NEW! DOWNLOAD THE AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES Follow @andrewhorowitz   John Pugliano is the author of The Robots are Coming: A Human’s Survival Guide to Profiting in the Age of Automation. He’s also the host of the Wealthsteading Podcast where he shares his ideas and personal experience on wealth building principles. John has spent over 30 years studying and applying the habits of financially independent middle-class Americans. His circuitous path to success included serving in the military as both enlisted and officer; a corporate career in industrial sales; and finally a late blooming entrepreneur. John has an M.S. in Systems Management from the University of Southern California and a B.S. in Environmental Science & Engineering from Penn State. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/

Tech off track for the week Bitcoin stampede finally slows. Eco data – humming along and the Fed is starting to change its tune. Guest: Jonathan Petersen, Variant Perception  NEW! DOWNLOAD THE AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES "Fiscal Sisyphus" is a term used to describe a situation where fiscal policy supports growth despite economic "gravity" dragging it down. The term refers to the Greek myth of Sisyphus, who was condemned by the gods to roll a boulder up a hill in the underworld, only to have it roll back down every time he reached the top. The myth is often used as a metaphor for the futility of life and the importance of finding joy in the present moment. Jonathan Petersen is Chief Markets Economist at Variant Perception, where he contributes to the analyst team's research on major economies and markets. He started his economics career on Vanguard’s global economic research team. Following this, he helped launch and lead the currency research service at Capital Economics. Jonathan studied economics and st

What goes up – sometimes comes down. Heading into the fat part of end of year seasonalit. An update on the Chili Cookoff. Guest, Frank Curzio – Curzio Research - the outlook into the end of the year.  NEW! DOWNLOAD THE SHOW NOTES Frank Curzio can be reached by email at frank@curzioresearch.com Frank Curzio is an equity analyst with close to three decades of experience covering small- and mid-cap stocks. Check out his newsletters. (Free trial subscriptions available) He has been the editor of several well respected newsletters with major companies as well on of the top performers with TheStreet.com where he significantly outperformed the markets during his tenure. He was also a research analyst for Jim Cramer. Frank is the host of Wall Street Unplugged. Frank has been a guest on various media outlets including Fox Business News, CNBC's The Kudlow Report and CNBC's The Call. He has also been mentioned numerous times on Jim Cramer's™s Mad Money, is a featured guest on CNN Radio and has been quoted in

Election Implications and Presidential Term. National Sales Tax (consumption tax) and Tariffs. Alternative Investments and Inflation Concerns. Comparing Politics and Market Flaws. Guest: Kerry Lutz  NEW! DOWNLOAD THE SHOW NOTES Kerry Lutz has been a student of Austrian Economics since 1977. While attending Pace University, he stumbled upon an extensive cache of Austrian Economic Literature in a dark, musty, abandoned section of the school‘s library. After graduating from The New York Law School, he became an attorney and lifelong serial entrepreneur. His diverse career has included: running a legal printing company, practicing commercial law and litigation and founding a successful distressed asset investment company. After the 2008 financial collapse and the continued global economic deterioration, Kerry realized people needed a reliable source for accurate information. Believing that inflation would eventually run rampant, he dedicated himself to helping people protect and preserve their wealth.

Andrew and Tom discussed the importance of asset allocation in managing investment portfolios, emphasizing the need for balancing risk and reward based on individual financial goals and risk tolerance. We also also explored the concept of a "mosaic" approach to analyzing portfolios, considering various factors such as economic growth, inflation, interest rates, policy, and sentiment. 3 E's - Earnings, Election and Economics.... Our conversation also covered the current state of the economy, the stock market, and the potential impact of the Federal Reserve's actions on interest rates and housing affordability. Guest: Tom Nelson, Franklin Templeton Funds  NEW! DOWNLOAD THE SHOW NOTES Tom Nelson is a senior vice president and head of asset allocation portfolio management for Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions. He is a member of the Investment Strategy & Research Committee. He is a portfolio manager of a number of funds offered for sale in various jurisdictions. He is lead portfolio manager of th

Andrew and David discussed the financial industry, focusing on timeless topics and the role of Jeremy Grantham. In this episode, we also explored the challenges of valuing private equity investments, the importance of having a clear investment strategy, and the impact of government intervention in capital markets. A spirited discussion followed about our contrasting views on China and Japan, and discussed the current state of the economy, particularly focusing on inflation and the actions of the Federal Reserve. Guest: David Salem - HedgeEye David Salem, Managing Director – Capital Allocation @ Hedgeye Prior to joining Hedgeye in early 2023, David served as founding President and Chief Investment Officer of The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF) and as a partner at GMO, working closely with Jeremy Grantham on investment solutions for large institutional funds. David received a JD cum laude from Harvard Law School and an MBA with high distinction from Harvard Business School, where he was electe

Ed and Andrew discussed the potential impact of inflation on the economy. Unpredictable environments and the potential impact of low inflation on market trends. Lastly, we debated the what is the long-term impact of AI on productivity and market trends. And our guest – Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research Ed Easterling is the founder and President of Crestmont Holdings, an Oregon-based investment management and research firm that publishes provocative research on the financial markets at www.CrestmontResearch.com. He has over thirty years of alternative investment experience, including financial markets, private equity, and business operations. Mr. Easterling is the author of recently-released Probable Outcomes: Secular Stock Market Insights and Unexpected Returns: Understanding Secular Stock Market Cycles (Cypress House; 2005). In addition, he is contributing author to Just One Thing (John Wiley & Sons; 2005) and co-author of chapters in Bull‘s Eye Investing by John Mauldin. Mr. Easterling is a Sen

GDP Numbers may be coming in hot. More new highs for markets. 2 weeks away from the presidential election. This week's guest, Tax Expert - Dan Pilla. Daniel Pilla is an expert in IRS procedure and advocate of taxpayer rights. Author of “How to Win Your Tax Audit.” Dan Pilla’s primary calling is that of tax litigator. He is considered America’s leader in taxpayer defense, taxpayers’ rights, and IRS abuse prevention and cure. Regarded as one of the country’s premiere experts in IRS procedures and general tax financial-problems resolution techniques, he has helped hundreds of thousands of citizens solve personal and business tax problems they thought might never be solved. As the author of fifteen books, dozens of research reports, and well over a thousand articles, Dan’s work is regularly featured on radio and television, as well as in major newspapers, leading magazines and trade publications nationwide. Dan is a frequent guest on numerous talk radio and TV programs where he is heard by millions of

New Highs across the board – (Big Caps – not the small caps). China stocks get obliterated. Rates moving up – CPI report…. This week's guest, Patrick O’Hare – Chief Market Analyst for Briefing.com. Patrick has been with Briefing.com since 1997 and authors the Page One, The Big Picture, Fed Brief, Market View, and Economic Data Reviews columns. He also provides commentary on Live In Play. Every Wednesday morning Patrick is a guest on KDOW's The Rob Black Show. He is quoted regularly in the financial press and has also appeared on CBS Radio, CNBC, CNN International, Fox Business Network, and PBS’ Nightly Business Report. Patrick is a graduate of Vanderbilt University and is located in Chicago. Follow @Briefingcom Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (FXI), (VXX), (MCHI)

Shocking – Rates running higher on better then expected jobs report. Oil on the move as the Middle East conflict intensifies. China and Emerging Markets on Fire – breaking out from long base. This week's guest - Tim Knight – a self proclaimed Permabear. Tim Knight has been charting and trading since 1987. His first stock trade was, in fact, on October 19, 1987 – the day of the crash – which perhaps goes a long way explaining his disposition toward bearishness. He has been involved in personal computers since late 1979 and, starting at age 16, began writing a couple dozen books about using and programming computers. His most recent writing has been focused on charting and the history of financial markets, including his newest books, Panic, Prosperity, and Progress, and, more recently, Silicon Valley Babble On and Solid State, his first novel. He has been running Slope since March 29 2005 and has, during that time, written more than 30,000 posts on the site. In 1992 Knight founded Prophet, a web-base

China surges, then drops then surges – after massive stimulus introduced. Tech leads into the end of the quarter. Metals, including copper get a boost. And out Guest, Manual Blay – The Dow Theory.com  - Newsletter – Home of the Schannep & Blay Timing Indicators. Manuel Blay is the editor of TheDowTheory.com, a top-ranked investment letter that has garnered a remarkable reputation for assisting investors in navigating Bear markets while maximizing profits during Bull markets. Mr. Blay’s investment Letter is frequently quoted by Forbes, MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, etc. Furthermore, he has extended the application of the Dow Theory beyond stocks to encompass U.S. bonds and precious metals. Throughout his career, Mr. Blay has actively traded for his personal portfolio. Prior to his endeavors as a trader and investment writer, he held a directorial position at an investment fund management company.   Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz

Rate cuts are sparking excitement. Market playbook resetting to lower rate outlook. Tech spitting and sputtering. Oil gets a lift after crashing though key support. And our guest this week is Steve Sanders – EVP at Interactive Brokers Steve Sanders is Executive Vice President of Marketing & Product Development at Interactive Brokers. In this capacity, he oversees all marketing and product development efforts at the company and introduces Interactive Brokers’ low commissions, advanced trading technology and breadth of product worldwide to advanced individual and institutional investors globally. Steve joined Interactive Brokers in 2001 to establish the company’s platform for financial advisors. Since that time, he has been responsible for many key initiatives including building a direct / digital marketing program, developing a new account structure and registration process for institutional investor clients and contributing to the deployment of the company’s Integrated Investment Account.  During

Surge and plunge – plunge and surge – new market realities. Risk up – but that is quickly undone. The Debate breathes life into a few sectors. Guest, Frank Curzio – Curzio Research - the outlook into the end of the year. Frank Curzio can be reached by email at frank@curzioresearch.com Frank Curzio is an equity analyst with close to three decades of experience covering small- and mid-cap stocks. Check out his newsletters. (Free trial subscriptions available) He has been the editor of several well respected newsletters with major companies as well on of the top performers with TheStreet.com where he significantly outperformed the markets during his tenure. He was also a research analyst for Jim Cramer. Frank is the host of Wall Street Unplugged. Frank has been a guest on various media outlets including Fox Business News, CNBC's The Kudlow Report and CNBC's The Call. He has also been mentioned numerous times on Jim Cramer's™s Mad Money, is a featured guest on CNN Radio and has been quoted in financia

September – not usually the best seasonal trends A question: Diversification – what is it and why do I need it? Active Management and Passive Strategies – a primer. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (N/A)

How to stay the course – even through time of doubt What’s up with the consumers anyway? Powell’s outlook moves markets – predictable And our guest – Brian Dress from Left Brain Wealth Management Brian Dress has 15+ years’ experience in the investments industry. Before joining Left Brain, he spent nearly a decade managing an independent portfolio of derivatives, focused mainly in the oil/gas and commodities markets, but also in equities and fixed income. Brian earned his B.S. in International Relations, with a concentration in International Economics, from Georgetown University in Washington, DC. He is currently a candidate for the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation. Brian is a resident in the City of Chicago, where he lives with his wife, Michelle, and young daughter, Juliette. In his spare time, he enjoys spending time with family, working out, cooking, and traveling. FIND OUT MORE ABOUT BRIAN Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Ma

Is the end of "peak commodities" a possibility and what is the cycle that we may see in the near future. The Fed and Jackson Hole - they need to ring the victory bell already and then step aside. Our guest, Carley Garner Futures and Options Trader on the outlook for commodities. Carley Garner is a futures and options broker with DeCarley Trading, a division of Zaner Financial Services in Las Vegas, Nevada. With nearly two decades of experience, her commodity market analysis is often referenced on Jim Cramer's Mad Money on CNBC, and she is a regular guest on Bloomberg Television's Options Insight segment with Abigail Doolittle. You might also see her on the Cow Guy Close hosted by Scott Shellady on RFD-TV and "Futures" aired on Schwab Network. Garner is a regular contributor to TheStreet.com and its Pro service and is also a regular on the speaking circuit. She can be found at TradersEXPOs and MoneyShows throughout the country. Garner is also an award-winning author of commodity futures and options tra

The "carry" trade blows up – But now: Fully Resolved Economic Indicators Bad – but that good news for markets Under the radar layoffs happening... Gust Anthony Scaramucci , Founder, Skybridge Capital (Who has a few things to say about politics and the election). Anthony Scaramucci is the founder and managing partner of SkyBridge, a global alternative investment firm, and founder and chairman of SALT, a global thought leadership forum and venture studio. Prior to founding SkyBridge in 2005, Scaramucci co-founded investment partnership Oscar Capital Management, which was sold to Neuberger Berman in 2001. Earlier, he worked in Private Wealth Management at Goldman Sachs & Co. In 2022, Scaramucci was ranked #47 in Cointelegraph’s Top 100 Influencers in Crypto and Blockchain. In 2016, he was ranked #85 in Worth Magazine’s Power 100: The 100 Most Powerful People in Global Finance. In 2011, he received Ernst & Young’s New York Financial Services “Entrepreneur of the Year” Award. Anthony is a member of the

3-days and it all changed… Yen Carry trade – Central banks breaking things. Markets move and investors freak out and The VIX makes a historic move. This week's guest: Dan Faggella, Founder and Head of Research at Emerj Artificial Intelligence Research. Daniel Faggella is the Founder and Head of Research at Emerj Artificial Intelligence Research, Daniel Faggella is an internationally recognized speaker on the use-cases and ROI of artificial intelligence in business. Since 2015 Daniel has focused on direct market research interviews with Fortune 500 AI leaders, AI unicorn startup founders, and leading academics. Daniel is a Brazilian Jiu Jitsu black belt, winning the title of 2011 national champion (IBJJF Pan America Games). He graduated with a masters degree in Positive Psychology from UPENN, focusing his thesis research on skill development and skill acquisition. Born in Wakefield, Rhode Island, he now lives in Boston. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Fol

Balancing risks and returns Gold - a good investment? Real Estate as an investment Setting up for success - with Guest Dr. Roger Silk. Roger D. Silk, Ph.D. is the CEO of Sterling Foundation Management, LLC and President of Lifetime Perspectives, Inc. Dr. Silk is widely recognized as a leading expert and innovator in the emerging field at the intersection of finance and philanthropy. Dr. Silk has more than three decades of experience working with and advising wealthy clients, high net worth families, and the advisors who work with them on a variety of issues ranging from the use of private foundations to the integration of sophisticated charitable planning into multi-generational estate plans. He has worked with numerous investment, accounting, financial planning, and legal professionals to educate them, their firms, and their clients about the benefits and characteristics of a full suite of solutions, entities and planning tools. Dr. Silk is the author of several books, including Managing Foundati

Big Tech making a mess of markets A new candidate – investors re-assessing their holdings. September rate cut probability of at 100% - lets discuss. Howard Silverblatt (@hsilverb) is Senior Industry Analyst, Index Investment Strategy, for S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI). In addition to general market research and commentary, Howard is responsible for the statistical analysis of S&P DJI’s family of U.S. Indices, including the world’s most followed stock market index, the S&P 500®. Howard has been with Standard & Poor’s since 1977, and has held various analytic, business development, and product positions. He joined S&P Indices in 1983 as an editor, and has since received numerous corporate and industry awards, most notably for his work on the creation and development of Standard & Poor’s core earnings and Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). Howard is widely quoted in top tier news publications around the world, providing in-depth analysis and information on a myriad of topics impacting